Matt Fargo |
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NBA on a 58-39 run and ready to keep it going. The NBA postseason continues Sunday and Matt has you covered as we are expecting a MASSIVE close to the season with the playoffs being a favorite! MLB back in action! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 18, 2024 #Padres vs #Braves |
#Padres +108 at SC Consensus |
P |
Play Type: Free | ||
This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our Saturday Free Play. Atlanta will be a very popular play tonight coming off a pair of losses where it scored just one run in each defeat. The Braves do not have a good matchup to get the offense back on track and it has actually stumbled going back further as the Braves more than four runs only three times in their last 17 games, averaging only 3.0 rpg over this stretch. The Padres remain a game under .500 as they were coming off getting swept at home by the Rockies so the win last night was a big one. Bryce Elder has looked good in three of his four starts, allowing two runs or less but his 4.79 ERA is actually better than the underlying metrics as he has posted a career-worst .289 xBA and 47% hard-hit rate and he is not going to overpower anyone. Yu Darvish has been elite and has now gone three straight starts not allowing a run, covering 17 innings. He has improved from last season with a better barrel rate and his xBA is down considerably. He is tough to figure out by opposing bats as he has eight pitches he can go to. Play (959) San Diego Padres NBA on a 57-39 run following a Friday Win and ready to keep it going. On a 6-1 run, the NBA postseason continues Saturday and Matt has you covered as we are expecting a MASSIVE close to the season with the playoffs being a favorite! MLB back in action Saturday with a division Game of the Month! |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 18, 2024 Angels vs Rangers |
Angels +127 at Ace |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the LOS ANGELES ANGELS for our MLB Divisional Game of the Month. The Angels have gotten off to a rough start at 17-28 but have won two straight and sit just one game under .500 on the road compared to a dismal 6-16 record at home. They are 5-5 over their last 10 games while averaging 5.7 rpg. Texas is now back to .500 on the season after a 1-6 stretch where the offense has completely shut down, averaging only 2.8 rpg over that stretch. The Rangers are a game under .500 at home so there has been no home edge in Arlington. Patrick Sandoval has pitched better than his top level numbers of a 5.20 ERA and 1.55 WHIP through nine starts. Underlying metrics of 3.49 xERA, 3.46 xFIP and 2.76 FIP all suggest that he will have positive regression as his command, strikeout rate and barrel rate have all improved. Jose Urena has looked solid in his first two starts but this is not going to continue as we see the opposite regression from him. He has a xERA of 4.94 or worse in his last five seasons so his early numbers are an anomaly. He has a career 15.5 percent strikeout rate and has only five strikeouts this season and will be challenged by the improved Angels offense despite the absence of Mike Trout. 10* (973) Los Angeles Angels |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | May 18, 2024 Thunder vs Mavs |
Thunder +3½ -110 at Ace |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Top Premium | ||
This is a play on the OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER for our NBA Signature Enforcer. The home team is just 2-3 in this series so the home floor has not been a huge advantage which is more surprising for Oklahoma City which came into the series 36-8 at home but has dropped two of three at home. Dallas came into the series 27-17 at home so its home court has not been as dominant anyway and the 1-1 split should not be a huge surprise and the Thunder have no issues coming away with another road win. Oklahoma City is coming off its worst defensive performance in the playoffs and it was not even close. While giving up just 104 points, the Thunder allowed Dallas to shoot 52.6 percent and that was the highest percentage allowed in their last 13 games. The Thunder offense has sputtered the last two games, shooting around 40 percent combined and the long range shooting has really tailed off. They are yet to make more than 10 three-pointers in this series after knocking down 16 of them in Game One and we feel that regression comes back to the norm in Game Six. The total has come down in every game and it is as low as 208.5 in some places and Oklahoma City is 9-0 ATS in its last nine road games where the total is 200 to 209.5. Here, we play on road teams revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, off an upset loss as a favorite. This situation is 132-81 ATS (62 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (531) Oklahoma City Thunder |
SERVICE BIO |
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Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's. Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you. Rating Scale Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays. Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted. Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line. Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright. Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities. Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports. |